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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.94+3.78vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.51+1.40vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.11+3.77vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.55+1.66vs Predicted
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5University of Miami0.72+0.19vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-0.95+3.25vs Predicted
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7Rollins College1.24-3.02vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida-0.15-0.66vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.47-0.90vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.94-5.22vs Predicted
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11Rollins College-0.62-2.50vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-1.31-1.91vs Predicted
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13University of Miami0.88-8.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.78Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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3.4Jacksonville University1.510.2%1st Place
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6.77University of South Florida0.110.1%1st Place
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5.66University of South Florida0.550.1%1st Place
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5.19University of Miami0.720.1%1st Place
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9.25Florida Institute of Technology-0.950.0%1st Place
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3.98Rollins College1.240.2%1st Place
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7.34University of South Florida-0.150.0%1st Place
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8.1Rollins College-0.470.0%1st Place
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4.78Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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8.5Rollins College-0.620.0%1st Place
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10.09Embry-Riddle University-1.310.0%1st Place
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4.95University of Miami0.880.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew King | 11.6% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 22.4% | 19.9% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Menesale | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 6.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Long | 10.0% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Annslee Maloy | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 21.8% | 24.2% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 18.5% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Beatriz Newland | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Zi Burns | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 11.6% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sexton | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 17.8% | 16.6% | 14.6% | 0.0% |
| Sunny Odom | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 20.9% | 40.2% | 0.0% |
| Josh Becher | 11.3% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.