← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.07+4.46vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.17+3.65vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University1.79+3.64vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University1.52+4.22vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83+5.66vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida0.99+4.38vs Predicted
-
7University of Pennsylvania1.16+3.62vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-0.99vs Predicted
-
9Boston College1.36-0.79vs Predicted
-
10Boston University0.37+2.69vs Predicted
-
11University of Wisconsin0.36+0.49vs Predicted
-
12Dartmouth College1.71-5.28vs Predicted
-
13Bowdoin College1.84-6.23vs Predicted
-
14Fordham University0.80-3.63vs Predicted
-
15Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92-5.10vs Predicted
-
16North Carolina State University0.01-2.65vs Predicted
-
17University of Hawaii0.47-5.46vs Predicted
-
18University of Texas-0.67-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.46Stanford University2.0713.7%1st Place
-
5.65Harvard University2.1712.2%1st Place
-
6.64Cornell University1.798.4%1st Place
-
8.22Old Dominion University1.526.2%1st Place
-
10.66St. Mary's College of Maryland0.833.2%1st Place
-
10.38University of South Florida0.992.9%1st Place
-
10.62University of Pennsylvania1.163.7%1st Place
-
7.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.1%1st Place
-
8.21Boston College1.366.6%1st Place
-
12.69Boston University0.371.8%1st Place
-
11.49University of Wisconsin0.362.9%1st Place
-
6.72Dartmouth College1.718.3%1st Place
-
6.77Bowdoin College1.849.2%1st Place
-
10.37Fordham University0.804.0%1st Place
-
9.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.923.8%1st Place
-
13.35North Carolina State University0.011.7%1st Place
-
11.54University of Hawaii0.472.5%1st Place
-
15.34University of Texas-0.670.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Harned | 13.7% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 12.2% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Marina Conde | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Lina Carper | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.0% |
| Kalea Woodard | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 2.5% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Sara Schumann | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 11.9% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 5.9% |
| bella casaretto | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Keller | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% |
| Deana Fedulova | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Lyla Solway | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 16.2% |
| Malia Johnson | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 5.6% |
| Kate Lyon | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 14.8% | 43.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.