← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania2.68+0.55vs Predicted
-
3Princeton University1.50-0.50vs Predicted
-
4Stevens Institute of Technology0.48-0.43vs Predicted
-
5Drexel University0.70-1.64vs Predicted
-
6Rutgers University0.06-1.92vs Predicted
-
7Penn State University-3.61-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.55University of Pennsylvania2.680.6%1st Place
-
2.5Princeton University1.500.2%1st Place
-
3.57Stevens Institute of Technology0.480.1%1st Place
-
3.36Drexel University0.700.1%1st Place
-
4.08Rutgers University0.060.0%1st Place
-
5.94Penn State University-3.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Russom | 61.4% | 25.9% | 9.8% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gene Merewether | 19.6% | 34.9% | 26.8% | 12.9% | 5.7% | 0.1% |
| Jeffrey Samalot | 7.5% | 13.0% | 22.2% | 30.2% | 26.7% | 0.4% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 8.1% | 16.6% | 26.8% | 28.5% | 19.5% | 0.5% |
| Dylan Richardson | 3.4% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 25.3% | 45.9% | 2.2% |
| Jacqueline Ligorski | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 96.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.