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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sara Menesale 4.8% 5.4% 6.4% 7.5% 8.4% 9.3% 13.9% 15.3% 12.3% 10.3% 6.4% 0.0%
Nathan Long 10.1% 10.9% 11.9% 10.8% 13.1% 11.4% 9.8% 10.2% 7.7% 2.8% 1.3% 0.0%
Hank Seum 20.7% 19.5% 16.2% 14.3% 10.7% 8.3% 4.9% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Beatriz Newland 3.1% 4.3% 5.8% 5.5% 5.7% 8.1% 10.4% 13.8% 15.7% 15.6% 12.0% 0.0%
Josh Becher 12.6% 12.3% 12.3% 12.9% 11.8% 10.4% 9.9% 8.2% 5.2% 3.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Matthew King 13.5% 12.3% 12.0% 14.0% 11.2% 11.2% 11.0% 5.8% 5.5% 2.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Milo Miller 19.6% 17.3% 15.2% 13.0% 12.2% 8.7% 6.2% 4.3% 2.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Matthew Sexton 2.8% 2.6% 2.9% 4.1% 5.5% 7.6% 9.1% 10.5% 14.0% 18.0% 22.9% 0.0%
Luke Justin 7.7% 9.9% 9.4% 11.0% 10.3% 12.2% 11.0% 11.3% 9.1% 5.4% 2.7% 0.0%
Zi Burns 3.3% 3.5% 4.2% 4.5% 6.7% 7.8% 8.2% 9.3% 14.8% 19.0% 18.7% 0.0%
Matthew King 13.5% 12.3% 12.0% 14.0% 11.2% 11.2% 11.0% 5.8% 5.5% 2.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Annslee Maloy 1.8% 2.0% 3.7% 2.4% 4.4% 5.0% 5.6% 7.5% 12.3% 20.8% 34.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.