Race 10B

lake-virginia-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Josh Becher 10.3% 9.3% 10.6% 11.0% 13.0% 10.6% 11.1% 8.8% 7.4% 4.4% 2.4% 1.1% 0.0%
Ghislaine van Empel 10.8% 11.1% 12.9% 11.9% 11.6% 10.9% 8.6% 9.2% 6.6% 3.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Nathan Long 9.6% 9.0% 9.1% 11.5% 9.5% 8.9% 11.3% 11.6% 9.0% 6.7% 3.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Matthew King 10.6% 11.6% 13.4% 10.7% 11.2% 10.5% 10.5% 7.5% 7.0% 4.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Milo Miller 14.3% 16.7% 13.5% 12.7% 11.8% 8.8% 8.8% 5.1% 3.8% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Luke Justin 7.3% 8.2% 8.2% 9.2% 9.0% 11.8% 10.3% 11.3% 9.7% 8.1% 5.4% 1.5% 0.0%
Garrett Floerchinger 3.7% 5.0% 4.8% 5.6% 5.6% 7.3% 9.0% 8.6% 12.2% 12.9% 13.0% 12.3% 0.0%
Hank Seum 22.3% 17.1% 15.3% 12.6% 9.9% 8.3% 5.6% 4.5% 2.5% 1.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Annslee Maloy 1.4% 1.7% 1.9% 2.3% 2.5% 3.2% 5.1% 6.4% 8.3% 13.3% 19.4% 34.5% 0.0%
Jack Adderley 4.0% 4.1% 5.2% 4.6% 6.1% 7.4% 7.6% 10.5% 12.6% 12.3% 15.4% 10.2% 0.0%
Matthew King 10.6% 11.6% 13.4% 10.7% 11.2% 10.5% 10.5% 7.5% 7.0% 4.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Zechariah Frantz 3.2% 2.0% 2.2% 4.9% 6.0% 5.7% 6.2% 8.0% 10.6% 15.6% 17.2% 18.4% 0.0%
Zi Burns 2.5% 4.2% 2.9% 3.0% 3.8% 6.6% 5.9% 8.5% 10.3% 14.5% 18.1% 19.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.