Race 11B

lake-virginia-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Matthew King 10.9% 11.0% 11.2% 11.2% 12.3% 11.1% 10.3% 9.5% 5.4% 4.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.0%
Luke Justin 6.9% 8.8% 8.9% 9.8% 8.4% 10.9% 11.7% 10.5% 9.6% 8.5% 4.5% 1.5% 0.0%
Ghislaine van Empel 12.3% 10.1% 12.4% 11.6% 9.0% 12.7% 10.2% 9.6% 7.0% 2.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Hank Seum 20.1% 18.6% 14.3% 15.7% 10.3% 8.0% 5.8% 3.8% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Milo Miller 15.0% 16.2% 16.2% 10.0% 11.1% 11.2% 6.8% 5.0% 4.5% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Josh Becher 11.3% 11.4% 8.8% 13.8% 11.1% 10.2% 9.8% 10.3% 5.5% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Nathan Long 10.2% 8.7% 11.6% 10.7% 11.6% 8.7% 10.2% 10.6% 8.3% 5.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.0%
Zi Burns 2.5% 4.1% 3.5% 4.3% 5.2% 6.1% 6.9% 8.0% 11.6% 14.4% 17.7% 15.7% 0.0%
Garrett Floerchinger 2.9% 3.5% 4.6% 4.7% 8.0% 8.0% 9.6% 10.0% 13.3% 13.2% 13.3% 8.9% 0.0%
Matthew King 10.9% 11.0% 11.2% 11.2% 12.3% 11.1% 10.3% 9.5% 5.4% 4.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.0%
Matthew Sexton 3.0% 2.8% 3.4% 3.3% 3.8% 4.7% 5.7% 8.6% 12.0% 15.2% 16.9% 20.6% 0.0%
Annslee Maloy 2.1% 1.4% 1.6% 1.7% 3.8% 2.8% 5.2% 5.0% 9.0% 12.9% 18.0% 36.5% 0.0%
Zechariah Frantz 2.8% 3.4% 3.5% 3.2% 5.4% 5.6% 7.8% 9.1% 12.0% 14.2% 19.5% 13.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.