Race 12B

lake-virginia-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Hank Seum 20.4% 16.9% 15.1% 14.3% 10.9% 8.7% 7.4% 2.5% 2.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Josh Becher 10.0% 11.7% 11.6% 10.2% 11.5% 10.7% 10.3% 9.8% 6.9% 4.4% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Matthew King 12.9% 10.0% 11.6% 10.9% 11.5% 12.0% 9.2% 10.9% 5.4% 3.7% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Milo Miller 13.2% 18.1% 12.3% 15.0% 11.0% 10.4% 7.4% 6.0% 3.6% 1.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Garrett Floerchinger 2.9% 4.2% 5.0% 4.8% 6.2% 8.0% 7.7% 10.6% 12.7% 13.5% 13.9% 10.5% 0.0%
Luke Justin 9.0% 7.4% 7.7% 8.0% 9.5% 11.2% 12.0% 10.3% 11.4% 7.0% 5.2% 1.3% 0.0%
Ghislaine van Empel 12.8% 11.2% 11.5% 12.4% 11.7% 10.0% 10.4% 8.2% 5.4% 3.7% 1.8% 0.9% 0.0%
Zi Burns 3.2% 3.8% 3.4% 4.7% 3.1% 6.2% 7.2% 9.1% 10.6% 15.0% 18.6% 15.1% 0.0%
Nathan Long 8.0% 9.5% 13.0% 10.7% 12.0% 10.4% 11.1% 9.9% 7.4% 5.4% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Matthew King 12.9% 10.0% 11.6% 10.9% 11.5% 12.0% 9.2% 10.9% 5.4% 3.7% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Zechariah Frantz 3.6% 3.3% 4.0% 3.9% 5.1% 5.6% 6.9% 9.5% 13.5% 15.3% 14.9% 14.4% 0.0%
Matthew Sexton 2.4% 1.6% 2.4% 3.4% 4.4% 4.4% 6.3% 7.3% 11.0% 14.8% 20.8% 21.2% 0.0%
Annslee Maloy 1.6% 2.3% 2.4% 1.7% 3.1% 2.4% 4.1% 5.9% 9.7% 14.4% 17.8% 34.6% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.