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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.61+3.74vs Predicted
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2Columbia University0.63+2.67vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.07+3.19vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.34+1.40vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.07+1.19vs Predicted
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6Queen's University0.49-1.06vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.57+3.08vs Predicted
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8Penn State University0.96-4.12vs Predicted
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9Washington College0.21-3.30vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30-2.79vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-1.24-1.57vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University-0.67-4.07vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-4.61vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy-3.21-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74Hampton University0.610.1%1st Place
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4.67Columbia University0.630.1%1st Place
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6.19Virginia Tech0.070.1%1st Place
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5.4Princeton University0.340.1%1st Place
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6.19Virginia Tech0.070.1%1st Place
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4.94Queen's University0.490.1%1st Place
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10.08University of Delaware-1.570.0%1st Place
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3.88Penn State University0.960.2%1st Place
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5.7Washington College0.210.1%1st Place
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7.21Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.0%1st Place
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9.43Drexel University-1.240.0%1st Place
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7.93Syracuse University-0.670.0%1st Place
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8.39SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.0%1st Place
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12.41U. S. Military Academy-3.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Brown | 13.5% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 13.9% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 5.4% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 5.4% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Julian van den Driessche | 13.2% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 18.0% | 33.7% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 19.6% | 17.4% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Randle | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 19.4% | 24.4% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Maren Behnke | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 8.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 15.4% | 17.5% | 12.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Gus Hankinson | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 9.4% | 78.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.