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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.50+4.86vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.63+3.48vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.03+4.66vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.35+2.63vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.23+1.84vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.93+2.07vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.83+1.44vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.62+4.37vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy1.02+2.22vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.15+0.88vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.40-4.73vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.78-3.47vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44-3.23vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-7.73vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College1.10-3.90vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.25-5.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.86Tulane University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.48Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.66Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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6.63College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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6.84Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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8.07Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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8.44Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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12.37Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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11.22Maine Maritime Academy1.020.0%1st Place
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10.88University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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6.27Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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8.53Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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9.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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6.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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11.1SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
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10.61Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thad Lettsome | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Mason Stang | 13.8% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 8.1% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 30.4% |
| Zachary York | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 16.4% |
| Olin Guck | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 11.9% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 11.0% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% |
| Jack Derry | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% |
| Robert Ulmer | 9.8% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 12.2% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.