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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.35+5.35vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.50+3.95vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.40+3.30vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+2.56vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.63+0.58vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+3.82vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.83+1.48vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.93-0.13vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.23-2.17vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College1.10+1.06vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy1.02+0.22vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.03-4.36vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.78-4.49vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.25-3.65vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.15-4.09vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.62-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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5.95Tulane University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.3Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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6.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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5.58Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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9.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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8.48Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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7.87Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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6.83Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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11.06SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
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11.22Maine Maritime Academy1.020.0%1st Place
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7.64Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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8.51Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
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10.35Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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10.91University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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12.58Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Thad Lettsome | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Robert Ulmer | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Mason Stang | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% |
| Mathias Reimer | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Parker Purrington | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 12.8% |
| Zachary York | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 15.1% | 16.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Beckett Kumler | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 9.3% |
| Olin Guck | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 12.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.