Race 1A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 19.7% 15.8% 15.9% 13.8% 11.9% 8.5% 7.6% 4.2% 2.1% 0.5%
Henri Richardsson 9.2% 10.2% 11.7% 12.1% 11.4% 13.0% 12.1% 11.2% 6.3% 2.8%
Emil Tullberg 22.1% 19.7% 16.4% 13.0% 11.2% 7.3% 5.5% 3.4% 1.5% 0.1%
Kai Latham 2.1% 3.2% 3.6% 4.0% 4.0% 5.2% 7.0% 9.6% 17.3% 43.8%
Bryce Vitiello 13.5% 14.0% 13.7% 13.0% 13.5% 10.6% 8.8% 7.3% 4.0% 1.7%
James Jagielski 8.2% 9.8% 9.9% 10.4% 11.2% 13.2% 12.9% 11.0% 9.3% 4.2%
Sam Harris 8.5% 7.6% 9.2% 12.0% 11.6% 13.0% 12.6% 12.6% 8.8% 4.2%
Cameron Frary 5.9% 5.9% 6.8% 7.5% 8.0% 10.5% 12.0% 15.8% 17.3% 10.2%
Ryan Treat 3.1% 4.3% 4.5% 4.5% 5.1% 7.6% 8.8% 11.9% 22.1% 28.1%
Walter Chiles 7.8% 9.6% 8.3% 9.8% 12.0% 11.1% 12.7% 13.1% 11.2% 4.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.