← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University2.40+5.04vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+4.23vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.63+2.35vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University1.78+4.52vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston2.35+1.33vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University1.93+1.85vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University2.03+0.54vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University2.23-1.43vs Predicted
-
9Tulane University2.37-2.78vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University0.62+2.30vs Predicted
-
11SUNY Maritime College1.10-0.32vs Predicted
-
12Yale University1.83-3.84vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island1.15-2.46vs Predicted
-
14Boston University0.34-1.12vs Predicted
-
15Maine Maritime Academy1.02-3.88vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44-6.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.04Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
-
6.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
-
5.35Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
-
8.52Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
-
6.33College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
-
7.85Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
-
7.54Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
-
6.57Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
-
6.22Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
-
12.3Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
-
10.68SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
-
8.16Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
-
10.54University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
-
12.88Boston University0.340.0%1st Place
-
11.12Maine Maritime Academy1.020.0%1st Place
-
9.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Mastovsky | 10.0% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Robert Ulmer | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Mason Stang | 13.7% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Beckett Kumler | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Parker Purrington | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Samantha Gardner | 9.7% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 20.7% | 22.5% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 10.5% |
| Mathias Reimer | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Olin Guck | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.1% |
| Renato Korzinek | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 16.5% | 32.8% |
| Zachary York | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 11.9% |
| Jack Derry | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.