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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.93+6.67vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.40+4.08vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+3.25vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.37+2.37vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.23+1.70vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College1.10+4.78vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.78+1.46vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.15+2.44vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.35-2.75vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44-0.36vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.63-5.63vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.03-4.55vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.340.00vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.83-6.00vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.62-2.62vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy1.02-4.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.67Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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6.08Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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6.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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6.37Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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6.7Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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10.78SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
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8.46Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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10.44University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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6.25College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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9.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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5.37Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.45Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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13.0Boston University0.340.0%1st Place
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8.0Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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12.38Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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11.17Maine Maritime Academy1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Purrington | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Robert Ulmer | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Samantha Gardner | 8.5% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 11.4% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Olin Guck | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 7.5% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Jack Derry | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 4.5% |
| Mason Stang | 13.4% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Renato Korzinek | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 17.2% | 33.9% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.8% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 18.3% | 24.3% |
| Zachary York | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.