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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.98+5.77vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.79+5.57vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.38+2.55vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.24+5.84vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.52+3.77vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.29+0.01vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+3.66vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.36-2.47vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.86-1.62vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.89-2.64vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.76+0.29vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-4.22vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.33-3.65vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.31-4.72vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.36-5.62vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.06-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.77Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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7.57Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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5.55Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.84Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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8.77Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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6.01Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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10.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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5.53College of Charleston2.360.1%1st Place
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7.38Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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7.36Fordham University1.890.1%1st Place
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11.29SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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7.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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9.35University of Rhode Island1.330.0%1st Place
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9.28Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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9.38Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
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13.49Maine Maritime Academy0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Rosow | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Alex Adams | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Ava Anderson | 13.5% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 6.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| Katharine Doble | 10.0% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Emma Wang | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 10.3% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 12.7% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jed Lory | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Connor Bennett | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 16.8% |
| Luke Zylinski | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Adam Strobridge | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.8% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 4.1% |
| Nathan Hyde | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 16.3% | 44.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.