Race 2A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 18.1% 16.7% 15.9% 13.7% 12.2% 10.7% 6.2% 4.4% 1.7% 0.4%
Emil Tullberg 22.8% 17.9% 16.1% 14.1% 11.2% 7.6% 5.9% 3.0% 1.1% 0.2%
James Jagielski 9.1% 8.5% 8.5% 11.7% 11.4% 12.6% 12.6% 13.1% 8.8% 3.9%
Bryce Vitiello 13.5% 14.0% 13.9% 12.2% 11.3% 11.2% 11.1% 6.6% 4.5% 1.8%
Henri Richardsson 9.8% 10.2% 10.9% 11.7% 12.9% 11.2% 12.7% 10.5% 7.1% 2.9%
Walter Chiles 7.5% 8.8% 9.8% 9.4% 10.3% 12.6% 12.7% 12.3% 11.1% 5.2%
Ryan Treat 3.0% 3.6% 4.4% 5.7% 5.9% 7.2% 8.2% 13.1% 23.3% 25.5%
Cameron Frary 4.7% 6.7% 7.5% 7.6% 8.5% 9.9% 12.4% 15.3% 16.4% 11.0%
Kai Latham 1.8% 2.5% 3.1% 3.4% 4.0% 5.3% 6.0% 10.9% 17.8% 45.0%
Sam Harris 9.8% 10.9% 9.8% 10.5% 12.2% 11.7% 12.3% 10.7% 8.1% 3.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.