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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.77+5.27vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.75+4.36vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.83+3.15vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.01+1.76vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97+0.80vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.23+6.70vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.08+1.75vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79-1.78vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.24-4.08vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.77-0.19vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.69-4.39vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.68-1.99vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University-0.82+1.00vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.88-4.74vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.01-2.78vs Predicted
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16Yale University0.37-4.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.27Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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6.36Tulane University1.750.1%1st Place
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6.15College of Charleston1.830.1%1st Place
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5.76Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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12.7SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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8.75Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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6.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.1%1st Place
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4.92University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
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9.81Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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6.61Brown University1.690.1%1st Place
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10.01Roger Williams University0.680.0%1st Place
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14.0Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
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9.26Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
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12.22Maine Maritime Academy0.010.0%1st Place
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11.17Yale University0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Flores | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mia Hanes | 9.2% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Thress | 9.6% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Andy Yu | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 21.4% | 20.8% |
| Blake Goodwin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Declan Botwinick | 14.9% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 2.8% |
| Connor Macken | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Yasar Akin | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 3.8% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 10.4% | 16.7% | 47.0% |
| Aidan Boni | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| Griffen Horne | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 16.9% | 19.6% | 14.6% |
| Beck Lorsch | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.