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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.01+4.70vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.83+4.35vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.75+3.66vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79+2.70vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97+0.98vs Predicted
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6Yale University0.37+5.25vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University0.68+3.32vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.16+3.66vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.08-0.11vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.69-3.06vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.00-5.15vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy-0.01+0.25vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.77-6.46vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.24-8.95vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.23-2.04vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-0.20-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.7Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.35College of Charleston1.830.1%1st Place
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6.66Tulane University1.750.1%1st Place
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6.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.1%1st Place
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5.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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11.25Yale University0.370.0%1st Place
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10.32Roger Williams University0.680.0%1st Place
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11.66Boston University0.160.0%1st Place
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8.89Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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6.94Brown University1.690.1%1st Place
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5.85Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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12.25Maine Maritime Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
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6.54Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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5.05University of Rhode Island2.240.2%1st Place
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12.96SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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12.88Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Thress | 9.5% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Mia Hanes | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Andy Yu | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Beck Lorsch | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 8.9% |
| Yasar Akin | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 4.5% |
| Richard Kalich | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 12.3% |
| Blake Goodwin | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Connor Macken | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Isaac Thompson | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 19.1% |
| Jack Flores | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Declan Botwinick | 15.5% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 19.5% | 26.6% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 18.9% | 25.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.