Race 3A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Emil Tullberg 22.6% 19.1% 16.5% 13.1% 10.8% 8.1% 5.1% 3.2% 1.3% 0.2%
Bryce Vitiello 14.4% 13.4% 13.3% 11.8% 10.9% 11.8% 9.9% 7.9% 5.1% 1.3%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 17.1% 17.3% 16.3% 14.7% 12.0% 9.7% 6.1% 4.5% 1.9% 0.4%
Henri Richardsson 9.4% 10.0% 11.5% 12.3% 12.4% 11.8% 12.3% 10.0% 7.3% 2.9%
James Jagielski 9.6% 9.3% 9.4% 10.3% 11.8% 11.7% 11.7% 12.3% 9.0% 4.9%
Kai Latham 1.7% 2.8% 2.6% 3.5% 2.9% 5.7% 7.6% 10.3% 19.8% 43.0%
Sam Harris 9.3% 8.8% 9.9% 10.2% 12.7% 12.2% 13.5% 11.7% 7.5% 4.2%
Cameron Frary 4.9% 6.1% 6.3% 8.4% 8.6% 10.2% 12.9% 14.1% 17.2% 11.2%
Walter Chiles 7.5% 8.6% 9.8% 11.0% 11.8% 11.1% 11.5% 13.2% 10.3% 5.0%
Ryan Treat 3.5% 4.3% 4.2% 4.7% 5.8% 7.8% 9.4% 12.8% 20.5% 27.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.