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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.64+5.54vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+8.24vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.39+4.51vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.23+3.92vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.82+4.63vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.10+2.57vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.81+2.78vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.66+2.36vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.79+0.88vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.12-1.28vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.53+0.15vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.45-0.27vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.33-5.56vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-5.23vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.30-3.08vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.69-5.59vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.99-7.86vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.43-6.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.54Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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10.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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7.51Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.92University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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9.63Dartmouth College2.820.0%1st Place
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8.57College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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9.78Bowdoin College2.810.0%1st Place
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10.36University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
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9.88Georgetown University2.790.0%1st Place
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8.72Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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11.15Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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11.73Tulane University2.450.0%1st Place
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7.44Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.77St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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11.92Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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10.41Cornell University2.690.0%1st Place
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9.14U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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11.3Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 9.8% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| William Michels | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% |
| Jack Egan | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 11.0% |
| Kelly Holthus | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 14.9% |
| Guthrie Braun | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 14.8% |
| Bridget Green | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.