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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.53+4.77vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.59+7.57vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.05+4.60vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+6.39vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.44+4.92vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.74+2.66vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.91+5.14vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.27+2.57vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+0.12vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.03-2.25vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.35-0.52vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.45-1.66vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.40-2.99vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.32-3.83vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.55-5.56vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.29-9.52vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.66-3.72vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.54-8.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.77Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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9.57Dartmouth College2.590.0%1st Place
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7.6Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.39St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.0%1st Place
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9.92Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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8.66Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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12.14University of Rhode Island1.910.0%1st Place
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10.57University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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9.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
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7.75Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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10.48College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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10.34Bowdoin College2.450.0%1st Place
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10.01Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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10.17Cornell University2.320.0%1st Place
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9.44U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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6.48Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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13.28Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
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9.32Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 12.8% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Chase Decker | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
| Blake Behrens | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Landon Cormie | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% |
| Peter Busch | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% |
| Christian Ebbin | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Henry Lee | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 14.7% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.9% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.2% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% |
| Sam Bonauto | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% |
| Sophia Devling | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.5% |
| Jack Welburn | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% |
| Stephan Baker | 10.1% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 25.3% |
| Diego Escobar | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.