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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.29+5.65vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+7.39vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.53+2.68vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.59+5.21vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.45+4.81vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.44+4.00vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.03+0.43vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.55+1.43vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.35+1.38vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.05-2.36vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-0.36vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.74-2.99vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.32-2.70vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.91-2.11vs Predicted
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15University of Miami2.27-4.30vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.40-5.76vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.66-3.71vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.54-8.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
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5.68Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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9.21Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
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9.81Bowdoin College2.450.0%1st Place
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10.0Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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7.43Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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9.43U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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10.38College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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7.64Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.64St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.0%1st Place
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9.01Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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10.3Cornell University2.320.0%1st Place
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11.89University of Rhode Island1.910.0%1st Place
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10.7University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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10.24Roger Williams University2.400.0%1st Place
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13.29Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
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9.32Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephan Baker | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 12.6% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chase Decker | 5.8% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% |
| Sam Bonauto | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% |
| Peter Busch | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Jack Welburn | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% |
| Blake Behrens | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Landon Cormie | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% |
| Christian Ebbin | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% |
| Henry Lee | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 13.7% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 24.7% |
| Diego Escobar | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.