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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+8.41vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.55+7.77vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.44+7.29vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.53+1.55vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.40+5.12vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.03+1.46vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+3.54vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.05-0.66vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.29-2.61vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.54-0.11vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.32-0.30vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.74-2.88vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.93-1.03vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.27-3.52vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.35-4.65vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.45-6.00vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.91-4.54vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College2.59-8.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
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9.77U. S. Naval Academy2.550.0%1st Place
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10.29Boston College2.440.0%1st Place
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5.55Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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10.12Roger Williams University2.400.0%1st Place
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7.46Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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10.54St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.0%1st Place
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7.34Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.39Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.89Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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10.7Cornell University2.320.0%1st Place
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9.12Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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11.97Tufts University1.930.0%1st Place
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10.48University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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10.35College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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10.0Bowdoin College2.450.0%1st Place
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12.46University of Rhode Island1.910.0%1st Place
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9.18Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% |
| Jack Welburn | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% |
| Peter Busch | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.0% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 14.1% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% |
| Landon Cormie | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% |
| Blake Behrens | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Stephan Baker | 9.2% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Diego Escobar | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% |
| Sophia Devling | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% |
| Christian Ebbin | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% |
| Clark Morris | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 15.9% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 4.9% |
| Henry Lee | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 19.3% |
| Chase Decker | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.