Race 4A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 18.4% 17.3% 16.0% 13.8% 12.2% 8.8% 6.6% 5.1% 1.5% 0.2%
Emil Tullberg 22.9% 19.1% 17.1% 13.5% 10.7% 7.6% 5.3% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
Bryce Vitiello 12.5% 12.3% 13.7% 14.0% 12.8% 10.7% 9.1% 7.9% 5.2% 1.8%
Walter Chiles 8.2% 9.8% 9.8% 9.9% 10.3% 11.6% 10.8% 13.0% 11.8% 4.8%
Henri Richardsson 9.6% 10.8% 10.9% 11.6% 11.9% 11.8% 13.0% 10.3% 7.4% 2.6%
Kai Latham 2.0% 2.5% 3.2% 3.7% 5.4% 6.3% 7.0% 9.2% 19.5% 41.3%
Ryan Treat 3.8% 4.0% 3.6% 4.7% 5.9% 8.0% 8.6% 13.2% 20.5% 27.8%
Cameron Frary 5.7% 5.3% 6.7% 6.9% 8.8% 9.8% 12.2% 15.2% 16.4% 12.8%
Sam Harris 7.9% 10.5% 9.2% 11.7% 10.7% 12.4% 14.0% 11.9% 8.1% 3.6%
James Jagielski 9.0% 8.2% 9.9% 10.3% 11.2% 13.0% 13.6% 11.3% 8.8% 4.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.