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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.03+6.77vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.05+5.59vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.45+7.28vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.35+6.25vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.29+1.49vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.53-0.47vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.74+1.66vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.93+4.12vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+1.56vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.59-0.36vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.54-1.22vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.91+0.62vs Predicted
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13University of Miami2.27-2.42vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-5.08vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.55-5.53vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.40-5.74vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.44-6.76vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.34-7.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.77Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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7.59Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.28Bowdoin College2.450.0%1st Place
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10.25College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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6.49Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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5.53Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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8.66Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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12.12Tufts University1.930.0%1st Place
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10.56St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.0%1st Place
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9.64Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
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9.78Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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12.62University of Rhode Island1.910.0%1st Place
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10.58University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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8.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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9.47U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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10.26Roger Williams University2.400.0%1st Place
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10.24Boston College2.440.0%1st Place
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10.24Cornell University2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Blake Behrens | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Sam Bonauto | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.9% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% |
| Stephan Baker | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 13.3% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christian Ebbin | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% |
| Clark Morris | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 12.8% | 16.2% |
| Landon Cormie | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% |
| Chase Decker | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% |
| Diego Escobar | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% |
| Henry Lee | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 13.5% | 19.5% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% |
| Jack Welburn | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% |
| Peter Busch | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% |
| Winborne Majette | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.