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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.45+9.24vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.29+4.63vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.35+7.66vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.59+5.30vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.27+5.65vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.44+4.01vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.54+2.57vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+1.18vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+1.61vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.53-4.21vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.32-0.30vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.40-1.41vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.03-5.61vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.91-2.08vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.74-6.35vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.05-8.53vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.55-7.36vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.93-6.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.24Bowdoin College2.450.0%1st Place
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6.63Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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10.66College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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9.3Dartmouth College2.590.0%1st Place
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10.65University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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10.01Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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9.57Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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9.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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10.61St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.0%1st Place
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5.79Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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10.7Cornell University2.320.0%1st Place
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10.59Roger Williams University2.400.0%1st Place
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7.39Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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11.92University of Rhode Island1.910.0%1st Place
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8.65Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.47Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.64U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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11.98Tufts University1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bonauto | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% |
| Stephan Baker | 8.3% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.3% |
| Chase Decker | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% |
| Peter Busch | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% |
| Diego Escobar | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 12.6% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Henry Lee | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 15.5% |
| Christian Ebbin | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% |
| Blake Behrens | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Jack Welburn | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% |
| Clark Morris | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.