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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.44+9.25vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.74+6.92vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+6.50vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.54+5.48vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+5.46vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.55+3.56vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.35+3.40vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.91+4.15vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.45+0.95vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.29-3.30vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.27-0.09vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.59-2.24vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.32-2.68vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.03-6.73vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.53-9.48vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.40-5.73vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.05-9.43vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.93-6.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.25Boston College2.440.0%1st Place
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8.92Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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9.48Georgetown University2.540.0%1st Place
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10.46St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.0%1st Place
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9.56U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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10.4College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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12.15University of Rhode Island1.910.0%1st Place
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9.95Bowdoin College2.450.0%1st Place
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6.7Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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10.91University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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9.76Dartmouth College2.590.0%1st Place
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10.32Cornell University2.320.0%1st Place
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7.27Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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5.52Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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10.27Roger Williams University2.400.0%1st Place
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7.57Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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12.0Tufts University1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Busch | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% |
| Christian Ebbin | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Diego Escobar | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% |
| Landon Cormie | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% |
| Jack Welburn | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% |
| Henry Lee | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 16.8% |
| Sam Bonauto | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% |
| Stephan Baker | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% |
| Chase Decker | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% |
| Sophia Devling | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 12.1% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% |
| Blake Behrens | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Clark Morris | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.