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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.53+4.64vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.44+8.07vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.40+7.22vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.59+4.98vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.74+3.43vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.91+6.05vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+1.94vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.54+1.29vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.29-2.86vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.35+0.42vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.45-1.10vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-1.29vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.34-2.94vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.27-3.85vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.03-7.80vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.29-5.49vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.55-7.59vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.66-5.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.64Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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10.07Boston College2.440.0%1st Place
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10.22Roger Williams University2.400.0%1st Place
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8.98Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
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8.43Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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12.05University of Rhode Island1.910.0%1st Place
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8.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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9.29Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.14Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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10.42College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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9.9Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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10.71St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.0%1st Place
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10.06Cornell University2.340.0%1st Place
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10.15University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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7.2Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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10.51Brown University2.290.0%1st Place
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9.41U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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12.87Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 12.7% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Busch | 4.1% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.6% |
| Chase Decker | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% |
| Christian Ebbin | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Henry Lee | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 16.6% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Diego Escobar | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% |
| Stephan Baker | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% |
| Landon Cormie | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% |
| Winborne Majette | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% |
| Jack Welburn | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.