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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+5.68vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.62+7.71vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.24+8.15vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+1.47vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.17+2.24vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+0.08vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.39+3.30vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.13-0.63vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.35-2.41vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College0.37+4.00vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.54-1.12vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin-0.26+3.67vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.00-5.18vs Predicted
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14Florida State University2.12-6.76vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-3.55vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.50-6.06vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan-0.22-1.56vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.69-9.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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9.71Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
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11.15Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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5.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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7.24Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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6.08University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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10.3George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.37University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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6.59Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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14.0SUNY Maritime College0.370.0%1st Place
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9.88Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
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15.67University of Wisconsin-0.260.0%1st Place
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7.82Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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7.24Florida State University2.120.1%1st Place
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11.45U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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9.94Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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15.44University of Michigan-0.220.0%1st Place
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8.97Boston University1.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Diogo Silva | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 1.8% |
| Sam Bruce | 13.4% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Cole Woodworth | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Zils | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 17.6% | 19.0% | 15.2% |
| Everett Botwinick | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Nigel Yu | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 21.1% | 40.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Peter Foley | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 3.0% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Jack Hammett | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 11.5% | 25.4% | 34.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.