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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University2.12+6.70vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+4.69vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.17+4.49vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.00+3.82vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.39+5.25vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-0.52vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+4.50vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.50+1.84vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.35-2.42vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-3.70vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.62-1.41vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.37+2.15vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.69-4.01vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.24-3.40vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute1.54-5.30vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.13-8.50vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin-0.26-1.45vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan-0.22-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.7Florida State University2.120.1%1st Place
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6.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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7.49Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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7.82Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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10.25George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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5.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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11.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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9.84Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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6.58Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.3University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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9.59Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
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14.15SUNY Maritime College0.370.0%1st Place
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8.99Boston University1.690.1%1st Place
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10.6Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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9.7Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
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7.5University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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15.55University of Wisconsin-0.260.0%1st Place
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15.26University of Michigan-0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Foley | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Owen Bannasch | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 13.2% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 4.1% |
| Henry Scholz | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Jacob Zils | 8.2% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 22.7% | 15.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Everett Botwinick | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Cole Woodworth | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nigel Yu | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 10.9% | 21.5% | 39.7% |
| Jack Hammett | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 14.5% | 21.9% | 33.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.