← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+5.80vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University2.17+5.59vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University2.00+5.22vs Predicted
-
4University of Pennsylvania2.47+2.25vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+0.55vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University2.35+0.69vs Predicted
-
7Florida State University2.12+0.52vs Predicted
-
8Eckerd College1.62+1.42vs Predicted
-
9Boston University1.69+0.18vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University1.24+1.20vs Predicted
-
11Webb Institute1.54-1.02vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-0.11vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-6.91vs Predicted
-
14George Washington University1.39-3.92vs Predicted
-
15University of Michigan-0.22+0.43vs Predicted
-
16SUNY Maritime College0.37-2.01vs Predicted
-
17Connecticut College1.59-7.28vs Predicted
-
18University of Wisconsin-0.26-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
-
7.59Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
-
8.22Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
-
6.25University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
-
5.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
-
6.69Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
-
7.52Florida State University2.120.1%1st Place
-
9.42Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
-
9.18Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
-
11.2Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
-
9.98Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
-
11.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
-
6.09University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
-
10.08George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
-
15.43University of Michigan-0.220.0%1st Place
-
13.99SUNY Maritime College0.370.0%1st Place
-
9.72Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
-
15.39University of Wisconsin-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jackson McAliley | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 13.7% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Foley | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 2.2% |
| Everett Botwinick | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 1.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 4.7% |
| Henry Boeger | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Jack Hammett | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 12.8% | 21.8% | 35.4% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 14.9% | 18.9% | 16.0% |
| Skylor Sweet | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Nigel Yu | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 13.2% | 21.9% | 36.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.