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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+5.76vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+3.65vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.59+6.87vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.24+6.79vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.47+1.31vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College0.37+7.92vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.35-0.25vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University2.17-0.69vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+2.58vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.62-0.26vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.00-2.89vs Predicted
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12Florida State University2.12-4.08vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.69-3.84vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute1.54-4.51vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.39-4.60vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin-0.26-0.44vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-10.62vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan-0.22-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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5.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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9.87Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
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10.79Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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6.31University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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13.92SUNY Maritime College0.370.0%1st Place
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6.75Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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7.31Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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11.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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9.74Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
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8.11Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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7.92Florida State University2.120.1%1st Place
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9.16Boston University1.690.1%1st Place
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9.49Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
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10.4George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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15.56University of Wisconsin-0.260.0%1st Place
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6.38University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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15.3University of Michigan-0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 10.3% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Skylor Sweet | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Diogo Silva | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Jackson McAliley | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 17.2% | 18.4% | 16.3% |
| Jacob Zils | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 3.2% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Peter Foley | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Nigel Yu | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 22.4% | 37.2% |
| Henry Boeger | 11.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Hammett | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 23.3% | 34.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.