Race 5A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 17.0% 17.0% 15.0% 12.7% 12.4% 10.3% 7.4% 5.1% 2.2% 0.9%
Emil Tullberg 22.5% 20.0% 17.1% 13.5% 10.5% 8.1% 4.9% 2.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Walter Chiles 9.2% 7.8% 7.8% 10.9% 13.0% 12.0% 12.2% 12.1% 9.2% 5.7%
Bryce Vitiello 13.8% 13.3% 13.1% 13.2% 12.7% 11.0% 9.5% 8.0% 3.8% 1.8%
Sam Harris 9.6% 10.4% 10.3% 11.2% 12.5% 10.8% 11.8% 10.8% 8.6% 4.0%
James Jagielski 8.3% 10.2% 10.7% 10.2% 11.0% 11.7% 12.2% 12.6% 9.3% 4.0%
Henri Richardsson 8.6% 9.9% 11.2% 12.3% 10.4% 13.7% 12.4% 11.5% 6.7% 3.3%
Kai Latham 2.5% 2.2% 3.6% 3.1% 4.6% 5.5% 7.0% 9.0% 19.4% 43.0%
Cameron Frary 5.5% 5.0% 7.0% 8.1% 7.8% 9.8% 12.3% 15.7% 17.6% 11.2%
Ryan Treat 3.0% 4.3% 4.0% 4.9% 5.0% 7.2% 10.5% 12.8% 22.2% 26.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.