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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+4.21vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.17+4.93vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.39+6.72vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+2.32vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.47+0.81vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.00+1.75vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.62+1.97vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+2.69vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.24+1.52vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.35-3.68vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-5.01vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.54-2.80vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College-0.23+1.48vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.69-5.12vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan-0.22-0.65vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin-0.26-1.39vs Predicted
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17Florida State University2.12-9.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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6.93Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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9.72George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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6.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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5.81University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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7.75Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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8.97Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
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10.69U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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10.52Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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6.32Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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5.99University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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9.2Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
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14.48SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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8.88Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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14.35University of Michigan-0.220.0%1st Place
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14.61University of Wisconsin-0.260.0%1st Place
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7.23Florida State University2.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bruce | 14.1% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 3.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 2.1% |
| Jacob Zils | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Henry Boeger | 12.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 16.6% | 24.5% | 31.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Jack Hammett | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 8.9% | 14.7% | 23.2% | 29.4% |
| Nigel Yu | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 14.1% | 26.0% | 30.4% |
| Peter Foley | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.