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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.06+5.03vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.08+7.59vs Predicted
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3George Washington University0.89+7.34vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.61+3.25vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.37+3.19vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-0.70vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.42+1.09vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.60-0.60vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+3.24vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.23-0.95vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.01-4.84vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.64-4.45vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-8.25vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute0.07-1.30vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin-1.21+1.14vs Predicted
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16Florida State University0.42-4.12vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.37-2.62vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan-0.30-4.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.03University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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9.59Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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10.34George Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
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7.25Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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8.19Northeastern University1.370.1%1st Place
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5.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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8.09University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.1%1st Place
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7.4Boston University1.600.1%1st Place
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12.24U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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9.05Connecticut College1.230.1%1st Place
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6.16Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.55Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
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4.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.2%1st Place
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12.7Webb Institute0.070.0%1st Place
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16.14University of Wisconsin-1.210.0%1st Place
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11.88Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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14.38SUNY Maritime College-0.370.0%1st Place
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13.95University of Michigan-0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Goodwin | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| JJ Klempen | 12.5% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Porter Bell | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 3.8% |
| William Hurd | 5.2% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Thress | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Robert Ulmer | 15.7% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marc Leyk | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 15.8% | 10.5% | 8.0% |
| Erin McDonagh | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 18.6% | 50.1% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 3.7% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 15.4% | 22.0% | 18.0% |
| Gabriel "Gabe" Morreale | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 18.6% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.