Race 6A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Emil Tullberg 21.3% 19.8% 17.5% 13.6% 10.8% 8.0% 5.5% 2.4% 0.9% 0.4%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 17.6% 16.1% 16.1% 13.8% 11.8% 9.0% 7.8% 4.9% 2.5% 0.5%
Walter Chiles 8.4% 8.8% 9.5% 10.5% 11.9% 11.8% 10.2% 12.8% 11.2% 4.9%
Sam Harris 8.7% 9.6% 11.0% 9.8% 10.4% 12.8% 12.7% 11.5% 9.3% 4.2%
Henri Richardsson 11.1% 11.9% 10.3% 11.6% 12.3% 12.3% 10.5% 9.4% 7.4% 3.1%
James Jagielski 7.9% 8.6% 9.3% 10.5% 12.7% 13.1% 13.0% 10.8% 9.8% 4.4%
Bryce Vitiello 13.8% 13.7% 13.4% 12.7% 11.2% 11.7% 10.2% 8.3% 3.8% 1.2%
Cameron Frary 5.8% 5.8% 6.3% 8.3% 8.2% 8.6% 12.0% 15.7% 17.6% 11.7%
Kai Latham 1.9% 2.4% 2.3% 4.5% 4.8% 5.8% 8.2% 10.4% 17.7% 41.9%
Ryan Treat 3.5% 3.4% 4.2% 4.7% 5.9% 6.9% 10.1% 14.0% 19.8% 27.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.