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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.06+5.07vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.61+5.65vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.64+4.51vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+0.82vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.08+4.25vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.42+2.14vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-1.71vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.37+0.21vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+3.27vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.60-2.34vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.01-4.83vs Predicted
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12Florida State University0.42+0.07vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan-0.30+0.87vs Predicted
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14George Washington University0.89-4.15vs Predicted
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150.07-2.05vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.23-7.15vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.37-2.67vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin-1.21-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.07University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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7.65Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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7.51Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
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4.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.2%1st Place
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9.25Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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8.14University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.1%1st Place
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5.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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8.21Northeastern University1.370.1%1st Place
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12.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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7.66Boston University1.600.1%1st Place
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6.17Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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12.07Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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13.87University of Michigan-0.300.0%1st Place
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9.85George Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
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12.950.070.0%1st Place
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8.85Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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14.33SUNY Maritime College-0.370.0%1st Place
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16.03University of Wisconsin-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Vieira | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ulmer | 15.8% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Goodwin | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Ted McDonough | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 12.9% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 4.2% |
| Porter Bell | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 8.7% | 4.7% |
| Gabriel "Gabe" Morreale | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 18.3% | 14.8% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Marc Leyk | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 6.8% |
| William Hurd | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 15.8% | 20.3% | 18.4% |
| Erin McDonagh | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 9.7% | 19.4% | 48.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.