← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+3.95vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University1.61+5.03vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University1.32+5.15vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+0.78vs Predicted
-
5Eckerd College1.64+1.93vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University1.37+2.21vs Predicted
-
7Florida State University0.42+4.30vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University2.01-2.26vs Predicted
-
9Boston University1.60-1.61vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+1.66vs Predicted
-
11George Washington University0.89-1.19vs Predicted
-
12University of Pennsylvania2.06-6.33vs Predicted
-
13SUNY Maritime College-0.06-0.16vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Santa Barbara1.42-6.11vs Predicted
-
15University of Michigan-0.07-2.29vs Predicted
-
16Webb Institute0.07-3.49vs Predicted
-
17University of Wisconsin-1.21-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.2%1st Place
-
7.03Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
-
8.15Old Dominion University1.320.1%1st Place
-
4.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
-
6.93Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
-
8.21Northeastern University1.370.1%1st Place
-
11.3Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
-
5.74Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
-
7.39Boston University1.600.1%1st Place
-
11.66U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
-
9.81George Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
-
5.67University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
-
12.84SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
-
7.89University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.0%1st Place
-
12.71University of Michigan-0.070.0%1st Place
-
12.51Webb Institute0.070.0%1st Place
-
15.44University of Wisconsin-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Klempen | 15.1% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Pierce Brindley | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Robert Ulmer | 14.0% | 15.0% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 3.3% |
| Lucas Thress | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Porter Bell | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 4.5% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Sofia Segalla | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Barker | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 16.8% | 17.8% | 12.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Alden Gort | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 18.8% | 11.8% |
| Marc Leyk | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 16.5% | 9.6% |
| Erin McDonagh | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 14.6% | 56.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.