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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.80+2.79vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy0.41+3.02vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.46+0.35vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.10+1.26vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College0.03+0.58vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08+2.07vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University0.59-2.45vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.40-1.60vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering0.22-3.59vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut-0.80-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79University of Vermont0.8018.4%1st Place
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5.02Maine Maritime Academy0.4110.9%1st Place
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3.35Salve Regina University0.4622.7%1st Place
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5.26University of New Hampshire0.109.2%1st Place
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5.58Middlebury College0.038.3%1st Place
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8.07University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.081.8%1st Place
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4.55Fairfield University0.5911.2%1st Place
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6.4Bates College-0.405.2%1st Place
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5.41Olin College of Engineering0.229.2%1st Place
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7.56University of Connecticut-0.803.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
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Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 18.4% | 17.3% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
Henri Richardsson | 10.9% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 3.1% |
Emil Tullberg | 22.7% | 20.3% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Sam Harris | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 3.5% |
Walter Chiles | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 4.9% |
Kai Latham | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 18.1% | 41.9% |
Bryce Vitiello | 11.2% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
Cameron Frary | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 11.5% |
James Jagielski | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 4.3% |
Ryan Treat | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 21.4% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.