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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Western Washington University0.85-0.63vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-0.46-0.71vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-2.24+0.20vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-2.53-0.38vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-2.42-2.55vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-2.53-3.43vs Predicted
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9Gonzaga University-5.20-1.73vs Predicted
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10Gonzaga University-5.18-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.37Western Washington University0.850.7%1st Place
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2.29University of Oregon-0.460.2%1st Place
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4.2University of Oregon-2.240.0%1st Place
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4.62Western Washington University-2.530.0%1st Place
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4.45University of Oregon-2.420.0%1st Place
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4.57University of Washington-2.530.0%1st Place
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7.27Gonzaga University-5.200.0%1st Place
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7.23Gonzaga University-5.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Turloff | 70.0% | 24.5% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Avey | 18.4% | 47.4% | 23.1% | 8.6% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Zink | 4.0% | 8.3% | 19.9% | 23.9% | 22.9% | 17.3% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Hans Scheyer | 1.7% | 7.1% | 14.7% | 20.9% | 22.9% | 25.1% | 7.4% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 3.0% | 5.9% | 18.5% | 21.4% | 23.9% | 21.6% | 5.5% | 0.2% |
| Nathaniel Rubin | 2.6% | 5.9% | 16.4% | 20.7% | 23.0% | 25.1% | 5.8% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Novotny | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 35.7% | 52.7% |
| Jacey Larock | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 5.9% | 42.1% | 46.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.