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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Western Washington University0.85-0.63vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-0.46-0.70vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-2.53+0.59vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-2.24-1.75vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-2.53-2.41vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-2.42-3.59vs Predicted
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9Gonzaga University-5.20-1.72vs Predicted
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10Gonzaga University-5.18-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.37Western Washington University0.850.7%1st Place
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2.3University of Oregon-0.460.2%1st Place
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4.59Western Washington University-2.530.0%1st Place
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4.25University of Oregon-2.240.0%1st Place
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4.59University of Washington-2.530.0%1st Place
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4.41University of Oregon-2.420.0%1st Place
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7.28Gonzaga University-5.200.0%1st Place
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7.22Gonzaga University-5.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Turloff | 69.8% | 24.7% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Avey | 18.1% | 47.9% | 23.0% | 8.4% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hans Scheyer | 3.1% | 5.8% | 15.4% | 19.7% | 24.1% | 25.1% | 6.4% | 0.4% |
| Dylan Zink | 2.7% | 9.6% | 18.7% | 25.2% | 21.7% | 17.5% | 4.5% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Rubin | 2.8% | 5.3% | 15.0% | 21.4% | 24.8% | 24.0% | 6.5% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 3.2% | 5.8% | 20.6% | 21.2% | 21.4% | 22.4% | 5.0% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Novotny | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 5.5% | 35.3% | 52.8% |
| Jacey Larock | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 42.3% | 46.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.