Race 8A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 16.4% 18.9% 15.0% 14.2% 11.7% 9.2% 6.8% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6%
Bryce Vitiello 14.1% 13.0% 14.2% 13.1% 11.7% 10.4% 9.7% 7.7% 4.5% 1.7%
Henri Richardsson 11.1% 10.0% 10.5% 14.0% 12.8% 12.8% 11.1% 9.2% 5.6% 2.9%
Emil Tullberg 21.4% 19.8% 16.7% 12.8% 11.0% 8.8% 4.9% 3.0% 1.4% 0.1%
Walter Chiles 7.8% 7.8% 8.8% 8.8% 11.2% 12.7% 12.7% 12.6% 11.7% 6.1%
Kai Latham 1.9% 3.2% 3.1% 3.5% 4.1% 5.5% 8.1% 11.0% 18.6% 40.9%
Cameron Frary 6.2% 5.1% 7.1% 7.0% 8.5% 8.9% 12.0% 16.6% 17.0% 11.7%
Sam Harris 8.3% 9.8% 10.8% 10.9% 10.8% 13.0% 12.1% 10.9% 9.8% 3.5%
James Jagielski 9.4% 8.5% 9.8% 10.4% 12.2% 11.1% 13.5% 11.5% 8.9% 4.5%
Ryan Treat 3.1% 4.0% 3.9% 5.2% 6.2% 7.6% 9.2% 12.3% 20.6% 27.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.