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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Oregon-0.46+1.30vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon-2.24+2.19vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.85-2.65vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-2.53-1.37vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-2.53-2.39vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-2.42-3.58vs Predicted
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9Gonzaga University-5.18-1.73vs Predicted
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10Gonzaga University-5.20-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3University of Oregon-0.460.2%1st Place
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4.19University of Oregon-2.240.0%1st Place
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1.35Western Washington University0.850.7%1st Place
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4.63Western Washington University-2.530.0%1st Place
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4.61University of Washington-2.530.0%1st Place
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4.42University of Oregon-2.420.0%1st Place
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7.27Gonzaga University-5.180.0%1st Place
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7.24Gonzaga University-5.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Avey | 18.7% | 47.8% | 21.7% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Zink | 4.0% | 7.6% | 22.1% | 23.3% | 21.5% | 17.6% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
| Adam Turloff | 70.9% | 23.8% | 4.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hans Scheyer | 1.6% | 7.0% | 15.2% | 19.6% | 23.4% | 26.4% | 6.6% | 0.2% |
| Nathaniel Rubin | 2.0% | 6.3% | 15.3% | 20.8% | 23.9% | 24.5% | 6.9% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 2.4% | 6.6% | 18.4% | 23.3% | 23.4% | 20.9% | 4.6% | 0.4% |
| Jacey Larock | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 36.1% | 52.1% |
| Nicholas Novotny | 0.1% | 0.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 42.1% | 46.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.