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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.85+0.36vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon-0.46+0.31vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-2.53-0.42vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-2.24-1.77vs Predicted
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7Gonzaga University-5.18+0.28vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-2.53-3.44vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-2.42-4.56vs Predicted
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10Gonzaga University-5.20-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.36Western Washington University0.850.7%1st Place
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2.31University of Oregon-0.460.2%1st Place
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4.58Western Washington University-2.530.0%1st Place
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4.23University of Oregon-2.240.0%1st Place
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7.28Gonzaga University-5.180.0%1st Place
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4.56University of Washington-2.530.0%1st Place
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4.44University of Oregon-2.420.0%1st Place
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7.23Gonzaga University-5.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Turloff | 71.0% | 22.2% | 6.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Avey | 17.7% | 48.1% | 22.6% | 8.8% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hans Scheyer | 2.9% | 6.1% | 15.9% | 19.1% | 25.1% | 23.9% | 5.9% | 1.1% |
| Dylan Zink | 2.7% | 10.0% | 19.4% | 22.7% | 24.0% | 17.3% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Jacey Larock | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 38.4% | 50.6% |
| Nathaniel Rubin | 2.5% | 6.1% | 14.8% | 24.5% | 20.7% | 25.0% | 6.0% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 3.0% | 6.5% | 19.2% | 20.9% | 21.7% | 22.9% | 5.5% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Novotny | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 40.8% | 47.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.