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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.85+0.36vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-0.46-0.70vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-2.53+0.58vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-2.53-0.39vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-2.42-2.55vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-2.24-3.80vs Predicted
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9Gonzaga University-5.18-1.73vs Predicted
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10Gonzaga University-5.20-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.36Western Washington University0.850.7%1st Place
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2.3University of Oregon-0.460.2%1st Place
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4.58Western Washington University-2.530.0%1st Place
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4.61University of Washington-2.530.0%1st Place
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4.45University of Oregon-2.420.0%1st Place
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4.2University of Oregon-2.240.0%1st Place
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7.27Gonzaga University-5.180.0%1st Place
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7.24Gonzaga University-5.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Turloff | 70.0% | 25.0% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Avey | 18.3% | 47.6% | 22.6% | 9.2% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hans Scheyer | 3.1% | 6.0% | 15.4% | 19.9% | 23.9% | 24.8% | 6.5% | 0.4% |
| Nathaniel Rubin | 1.8% | 7.2% | 14.2% | 21.7% | 23.0% | 24.8% | 7.1% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 3.0% | 6.0% | 17.1% | 23.3% | 23.2% | 22.2% | 5.1% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Zink | 3.5% | 7.4% | 23.8% | 21.8% | 22.3% | 17.5% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Jacey Larock | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 35.8% | 52.3% |
| Nicholas Novotny | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 42.1% | 46.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.