← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Washington University0.85+0.36vs Predicted
-
4University of Oregon-0.46-1.70vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington-2.53-0.42vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University-2.53-1.39vs Predicted
-
7University of Oregon-2.42-2.55vs Predicted
-
8University of Oregon-2.24-3.80vs Predicted
-
9Gonzaga University-5.20-1.72vs Predicted
-
10Gonzaga University-5.18-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.36Western Washington University0.850.7%1st Place
-
2.3University of Oregon-0.460.2%1st Place
-
4.58University of Washington-2.530.0%1st Place
-
4.61Western Washington University-2.530.0%1st Place
-
4.45University of Oregon-2.420.0%1st Place
-
4.2University of Oregon-2.240.0%1st Place
-
7.28Gonzaga University-5.200.0%1st Place
-
7.22Gonzaga University-5.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Turloff | 70.0% | 24.9% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Avey | 18.3% | 47.7% | 22.5% | 9.2% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Rubin | 3.1% | 6.0% | 15.4% | 19.9% | 23.9% | 25.0% | 6.3% | 0.4% |
| Hans Scheyer | 1.8% | 7.1% | 14.3% | 21.5% | 23.1% | 24.9% | 7.1% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 3.0% | 6.0% | 17.1% | 23.4% | 23.1% | 22.0% | 5.3% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Zink | 3.5% | 7.4% | 23.8% | 21.8% | 22.2% | 17.5% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Novotny | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 35.4% | 52.9% |
| Jacey Larock | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 42.4% | 46.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.