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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.79+2.84vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.31+0.80vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.20+2.19vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University0.41+0.69vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina0.00+0.83vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.76+1.88vs Predicted
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7Vanderbilt University-0.20-1.01vs Predicted
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8Duke University-0.18-1.81vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina-2.68+3.22vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.37+1.71vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-1.40-1.52vs Predicted
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12Vanderbilt University-1.36-2.61vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76-2.75vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50-4.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84Clemson University0.790.2%1st Place
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2.8North Carolina State University1.310.3%1st Place
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5.19The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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4.69North Carolina State University0.410.1%1st Place
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5.83University of North Carolina0.000.1%1st Place
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7.88North Carolina State University-0.760.0%1st Place
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5.99Vanderbilt University-0.200.1%1st Place
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6.19Duke University-0.180.1%1st Place
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12.22University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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11.71University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.370.0%1st Place
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9.48University of Georgia-1.400.0%1st Place
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9.39Vanderbilt University-1.360.0%1st Place
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10.25University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
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9.54University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nilah Miller | 17.5% | 18.6% | 16.1% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 30.8% | 22.3% | 17.9% | 12.3% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 9.6% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Wheary | 10.1% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Noah Jost | 6.5% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Tucker Parks | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Jack Schultz | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 21.9% | 42.7% |
| Joey Dunn | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 23.3% | 29.8% |
| Sebastian Helgesen | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 10.5% | 5.6% |
| Victor Larimer | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 4.8% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 16.7% | 16.0% | 10.3% |
| Sam Woodley | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.