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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.31+1.86vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.79+1.70vs Predicted
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3Duke University-0.18+3.21vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University0.41+0.70vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.20+0.31vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina0.00-0.24vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.76+0.55vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-2.68+4.04vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50+0.79vs Predicted
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10Vanderbilt University-0.20-3.72vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-1.40-1.46vs Predicted
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12Vanderbilt University-1.36-2.62vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76-2.72vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.37-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86North Carolina State University1.310.3%1st Place
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3.7Clemson University0.790.2%1st Place
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6.21Duke University-0.180.1%1st Place
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4.7North Carolina State University0.410.1%1st Place
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5.31The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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5.76University of North Carolina0.000.1%1st Place
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7.55North Carolina State University-0.760.0%1st Place
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12.04University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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9.79University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
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6.28Vanderbilt University-0.200.1%1st Place
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9.54University of Georgia-1.400.0%1st Place
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9.38Vanderbilt University-1.360.0%1st Place
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10.28University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
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11.59University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Usher | 29.9% | 23.6% | 16.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 18.6% | 18.5% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| William Wheary | 9.6% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 7.5% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 8.1% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Parks | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Williams | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 17.8% | 44.0% |
| Sam Woodley | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 6.8% |
| Jack Schultz | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sebastian Helgesen | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 6.3% |
| Victor Larimer | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 4.2% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 16.8% | 18.3% | 9.9% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 22.6% | 27.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.