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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Duke University-0.18+5.14vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.79+1.78vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.31-0.16vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina0.00+1.73vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50+4.74vs Predicted
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6Vanderbilt University-0.20+0.29vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University0.41-2.51vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.20-2.75vs Predicted
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9Vanderbilt University-1.36+0.34vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University-0.76-2.11vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-1.40-1.50vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76-1.69vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina-2.68-0.88vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.37-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.14Duke University-0.180.1%1st Place
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3.78Clemson University0.790.2%1st Place
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2.84North Carolina State University1.310.3%1st Place
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5.73University of North Carolina0.000.1%1st Place
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9.74University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
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6.29Vanderbilt University-0.200.1%1st Place
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4.49North Carolina State University0.410.1%1st Place
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5.25The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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9.34Vanderbilt University-1.360.0%1st Place
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7.89North Carolina State University-0.760.0%1st Place
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9.5University of Georgia-1.400.0%1st Place
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10.31University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
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12.12University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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11.57University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Hoogenboom | 5.9% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Nilah Miller | 16.9% | 17.6% | 17.5% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 29.1% | 23.9% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sam Woodley | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 6.8% |
| Jack Schultz | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| William Wheary | 13.1% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 9.9% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Victor Larimer | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 9.7% | 4.9% |
| Tucker Parks | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Sebastian Helgesen | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 5.1% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 11.4% |
| Tyler Williams | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 18.1% | 43.7% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 24.6% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.