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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.31+1.75vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.20+2.97vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.79+0.71vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University0.41+0.49vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-0.51+1.59vs Predicted
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6Vanderbilt University-0.20-0.14vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.37+3.79vs Predicted
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8Duke University-0.18-2.15vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-0.76-1.56vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-1.40-1.12vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina-2.68+0.36vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50-2.67vs Predicted
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13Vanderbilt University-1.36-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75North Carolina State University1.310.3%1st Place
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4.97The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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3.71Clemson University0.790.2%1st Place
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4.49North Carolina State University0.410.1%1st Place
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6.59University of North Carolina-0.510.1%1st Place
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5.86Vanderbilt University-0.200.1%1st Place
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10.79University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.370.0%1st Place
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5.85Duke University-0.180.1%1st Place
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7.44North Carolina State University-0.760.0%1st Place
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8.88University of Georgia-1.400.0%1st Place
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11.36University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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9.33University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
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8.98Vanderbilt University-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Usher | 30.2% | 23.5% | 18.0% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 9.8% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nilah Miller | 17.3% | 19.7% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Wheary | 13.2% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Jack Schultz | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 23.2% | 32.3% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Tucker Parks | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Sebastian Helgesen | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 7.7% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 22.0% | 42.9% |
| Sam Woodley | 1.3% | 1.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 18.5% | 17.1% | 8.3% |
| Victor Larimer | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 15.1% | 17.5% | 14.5% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.