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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.80+2.79vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy0.41+3.14vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.46+0.36vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College0.03+1.48vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.40+1.42vs Predicted
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6Olin College of Engineering0.22-0.72vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08+1.20vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.59-3.47vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire0.10-3.74vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut-0.80-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79University of Vermont0.8018.4%1st Place
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5.14Maine Maritime Academy0.419.8%1st Place
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3.36Salve Regina University0.4622.2%1st Place
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5.48Middlebury College0.037.8%1st Place
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6.42Bates College-0.405.3%1st Place
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5.28Olin College of Engineering0.229.8%1st Place
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8.2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.082.1%1st Place
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4.53Fairfield University0.5912.7%1st Place
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5.26University of New Hampshire0.108.8%1st Place
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7.54University of Connecticut-0.803.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
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Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 18.4% | 18.9% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
Henri Richardsson | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 3.4% |
Emil Tullberg | 22.2% | 18.6% | 18.4% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
Walter Chiles | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 4.4% |
Cameron Frary | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 11.8% |
James Jagielski | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 3.8% |
Kai Latham | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 18.4% | 43.6% |
Bryce Vitiello | 12.7% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
Sam Harris | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 4.0% |
Ryan Treat | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 22.1% | 27.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.