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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.31+1.79vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.79+1.66vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.20+2.03vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina-0.51+2.78vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.41-0.57vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.76+1.28vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina-2.68+4.31vs Predicted
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8Vanderbilt University-0.20-2.14vs Predicted
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9Vanderbilt University-1.36-0.14vs Predicted
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10Duke University-0.18-4.12vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-1.40-2.20vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50-2.71vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.37-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79North Carolina State University1.310.3%1st Place
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3.66Clemson University0.790.2%1st Place
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5.03The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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6.78University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
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4.43North Carolina State University0.410.1%1st Place
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7.28North Carolina State University-0.760.0%1st Place
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11.31University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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5.86Vanderbilt University-0.200.1%1st Place
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8.86Vanderbilt University-1.360.0%1st Place
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5.88Duke University-0.180.1%1st Place
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8.8University of Georgia-1.400.0%1st Place
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9.29University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
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11.03University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Usher | 31.1% | 21.2% | 18.2% | 13.0% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 18.3% | 18.7% | 16.7% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 8.0% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| William Wheary | 12.6% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Parks | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 21.4% | 44.9% |
| Jack Schultz | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Victor Larimer | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 16.1% | 16.3% | 12.9% | 6.3% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Sebastian Helgesen | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 12.1% | 5.9% |
| Sam Woodley | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 18.2% | 17.6% | 7.7% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 25.5% | 32.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.